NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedbf21706fd6a6efa86f21927485fa517e77cb624bb6a74d1f2ecaa1942a59e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 53c | 12,218$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,644$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 8,738$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.09 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,245$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,191$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…96d8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,572$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.34 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,564$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,600$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.11 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,954$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,691$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,354$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…6a04backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,308$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 3,062$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Cavaliers | 48c | 3,021$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.83 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,819$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…2600backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,400$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,308$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.02 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,302$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.92 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,302$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.42 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,044$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,680$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,628$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.88 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,614$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,366$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,067$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 934.39$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.51 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 45c | 844.18$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Cavaliers | 52c | 665.24$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.29 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Timberwolves | 33c | 644.04$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 54c | 603.97$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 512.49$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Timberwolves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Cavaliers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…e0eebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 340.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 52c | 332.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Timberwolves | 53c | 254.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Cavaliers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Cavaliers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 190.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Timberwolves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 173.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Timberwolves | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cavaliers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Cavaliers | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 112.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…d4afbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 110.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Cavaliers | 59c | 89.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Timberwolves | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Cavaliers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 69.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Cavaliers | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909b…6a0dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cavaliers | 66c | 36.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Timberwolves | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 30.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers | 43c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…3614backed Cavaliers | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed Timberwolves | 68c | 21.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Cavaliers | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers | 50c | 19.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.