NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634e45884018546342536e693d5c9a42c07782012d504083f864512e6d764b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Timberwolves, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,307,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,376,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,307,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 158,540$69,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,669.14 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 154,046$86,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,101.64 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 119,856$59,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,995.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 92,416$48,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,546.7 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves | 40c | 76,171$30,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,430.02 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 68,577$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Cavaliers | 57c | 64,236$36,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,621.63 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 60,734$36,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,475.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Timberwolves | 43c | 57,989$24,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,935.08 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 44c | 50,000$21,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 33c | 48,248$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 41c | 43,388$17,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,821.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 42c | 40,914$17,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,074.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 36,250$18,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,829 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 59c | 30,635$18,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,583.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 30,257$17,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,850.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 60c | 29,715$17,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,770.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 51c | 27,606$14,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,509.19 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 24,286$14,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,633.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Timberwolves | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.94 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 48c | 21,999$10,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,362.2 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 60c | 19,926$11,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,970.42 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Timberwolves | 9c | 19,000$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.22 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 18,469$11,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,597.43 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Timberwolves | 40c | 18,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Cavaliers | 61c | 18,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 17,518$9,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,707.91 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 16,536$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.19 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Timberwolves | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Timberwolves | 44c | 14,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 13,695$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.76 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 13,621$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 12,443$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves | 43c | 12,328$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.8 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Cavaliers | 58c | 12,300$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 12,239$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.6 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 39c | 12,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Timberwolves | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers | 59c | 11,762$6,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.79 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 11,620$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.39 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Timberwolves | 33c | 11,510$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.17 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cavaliers | 58c | 11,371$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.7 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 10,855$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.71 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 10,355$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 10,253$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 10,234$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.32 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,107$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.63 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…1b40backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,070$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Cavaliers | 45c | 10,040$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.48 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Timberwolves | 44c | 10,000$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.98 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Timberwolves | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Cavaliers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.91 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 9,984$5,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.64 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 9,312$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.99 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Cavaliers | 59c | 8,815$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.85 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 42c | 8,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Cavaliers | 58c | 7,967$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.34 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 7,904$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Timberwolves | 16c | 7,734$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.58 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 38c | 7,676$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.1 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Timberwolves | 42c | 7,560$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.36 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 40c | 7,550$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Timberwolves | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Cavaliers | 60c | 7,368$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.2 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Cavaliers | 60c | 7,324$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.6 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Timberwolves | 41c | 7,294$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.87 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 7,277$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.85 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Timberwolves | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Cavaliers | 61c | 6,816$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.21 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Timberwolves | 45c | 6,810$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.71 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,678$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 60c | 6,559$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 30c | 6,500$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 6,154$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.82 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,003$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.45 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,721$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,569$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.43 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers | 69c | 5,569$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.69 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves | 43c | 5,426$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.16 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 5,337$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.76 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers | 58c | 5,206$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.79 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Timberwolves | 44c | 5,180$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.2 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Timberwolves | 43c | 5,164$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Cavaliers | 58c | 5,059$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.8 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,890$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,881$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.36 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Cavaliers | 57c | 4,761$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 45c | 4,742$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…17cdbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 4,700$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 4,557$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.37 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Cavaliers | 57c | 4,478$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.68 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Timberwolves | 21c | 4,422$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.1 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,411$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…f102backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,337$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,239$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.98 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.