TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13a5…a875

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.39
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.76
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.88
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.41
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.67
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.31
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.55
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+922%+$148.63
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.16
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.93
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.4%+$9.42
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.89
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.83
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.2
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.47
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.31
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.84
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.76
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.87
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.99
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.38
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.18
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.87
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+30.6%+$3.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.