Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x406d6ef56c4458a5238b25a172655d0901a297cd80431449df4622968c761cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 28,677$16,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,617.74 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 41c | 7,127$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 5,729$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.7 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 4,423$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…e27fbacked Yes | 43c | 3,521$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…69cdbacked No | 57c | 3,515$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,335$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 3,137$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.17 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,307$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,821$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 1,760$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.71 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 56c | 1,735$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 1,726$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.95 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 1,595$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.42 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,521$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 1,141$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 1,136$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 978.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 915$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 733.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.59 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 59c | 589.66$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 9c | 555.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 56c | 535.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 2c | 503$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 59c | 461.3$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 59c | 438$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 59c | 341.67$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…11bdbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 42c | 275.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 66c | 274.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 60c | 181$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 164.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 126.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 58c | 104.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 63c | 101.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 96.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 60c | 54.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…f18ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 59c | 47.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 56c | 46.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…c580backed No | 70c | 42.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 57c | 34.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 79c | 30.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…c9a0backed Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 58c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b213backed Yes | 40c | 25.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…a875backed No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.