Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968d76037f8f28ea976a51b3b762369ff9d0ed99f1b8a7bad7bd945ee9ae5333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 1,750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.99 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,596$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.16 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,209$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 745.15$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 706.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 405.02$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 24c | 373.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 351$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Yes | 30c | 350.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 32c | 166.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 76c | 155.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 28c | 140.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 31c | 130.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 99.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c48…8edfbacked Yes | 30c | 98.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 79.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…4fa6backed Yes | 30c | 76.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 73.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 53.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…ee23backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 40.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b213backed No | 73c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.