TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c34,462$17,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,800.644,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under30c23,124$6,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,186.628957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over67c20,209$13,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,615.621625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over33c15,267$5,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,088.969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over70c9,292$6,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,504.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Over3c7,924$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.731040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over55c6,500$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5754922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7503860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over70c2,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under30c1,551$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under48c1,420$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.0855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under43c1,237$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.2125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under45c1,214$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8410438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7009923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over70c967.19$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.0321641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over51c800$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4068142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb960…8c47backed Over9c700$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+508.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over70c628.92$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.829966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over70c602.86$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over38c436.69$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Over72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over51c369.35$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3720945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over16c361.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over29c347$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.632941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Over49c333.9$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+103.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002552%13 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over68c270.79$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.142157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over69c179.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5723152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over35c160.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5630842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Over62c157$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.34825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under51c154.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.155543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under30c133.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.264553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…6bcfbacked Over70c126.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over37c122.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over70c111$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.723250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a5…a875backed Over32c107.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under28c104.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f2…1e32backed Over70c94.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.211070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over52c92.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over70c79.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4217541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under51c76.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.415051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf237…46edbacked Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c72.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6811741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f2…beb8backed Over42c66.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Over70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Under32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.216962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over51c28.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over35c28.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over71c23.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under76c15.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.852065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb11a…023cbacked Over70c15.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.