La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa977f86471b501783360b77864c6f907be1b6054da4c25881b1b4c619200a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 56c | 3,578$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,900$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 69c | 850$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed No | 45c | 779.09$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 770.33$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed Yes | 49c | 505$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 48c | 496.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 484.3$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.66 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 284$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 274.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed No | 45c | 223.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 54c | 213.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 44c | 204.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 55c | 195.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…8d82backed Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 48c | 132.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 40c | 126.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…b0c9backed Yes | 35c | 113.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…92c6backed No | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…9664backed Yes | 55c | 94.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…6bcfbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 48c | 89.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 23c | 88.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 56c | 86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…2d16backed Yes | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 56c | 53.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…c836backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 53c | 50.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…b284backed Yes | 45c | 49.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…2650backed Yes | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Yes | 52c | 30.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 45c | 30.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…cb26backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Yes | 48c | 27.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 43c | 26.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…b804backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…2cc9backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e14…4e96backed Yes | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 52c | 22.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…36d8backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…2465backed Yes | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)Celta Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.