TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6be1…36d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$41.15
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+191.6%+$28.75
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.7
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$23.3
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.23
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$18.59
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.83
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$17.76
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.37
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$11.58
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$9.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.75
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+209.2%+$62.77
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$12.63
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.06
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$11.73
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.1%+$10.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hofstra Pride vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.2%+$27.36
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.84
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.31
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.57
Valorant: T1 vs SLT (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$30.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.3%+$64.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.