TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Fever vs. Aces

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Fever, Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb412…3026backed Aces78c31,217$24,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,006.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Fever22c18,800$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1666637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fever23c11,474$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.1919142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Fever22c7,610$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.7915246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Aces79c6,862$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.961,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fever19c6,798$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.383528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fever25c6,350$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.5823931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Fever32c5,000$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fever23c4,171$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.174438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Aces77c4,040$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Fever25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Fever23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.972330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Aces77c3,891$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.911030%3 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Fever26c3,519$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.923938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Aces74c3,378$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.387753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aces75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Fever24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Aces76c2,433$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Fever19c2,323$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.531457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever22c2,253$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.277542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aces76c2,154$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.9714450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Aces74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Fever31c1,956$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Fever23c1,937$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Aces68c1,803$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.956640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Aces76c1,715$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.983961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Aces77c1,478$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4439450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Aces75c1,464$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.59055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Aces75c1,273$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.734100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Fever24c1,266$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.154252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Aces76c1,218$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4721440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Aces75c1,127$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ced…478ebacked Fever22c999.98$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Aces74c983$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Fever17c975.56$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Fever19c975$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Fever27c892.05$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Fever24c856.67$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever22c853.88$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9132047.8%153 W · 167 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b1…da66backed Fever9c805.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Aces70c783.48$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.373348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Aces66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fever28c724.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces73c699.66$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7312463.7%79 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Fever9c689.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.34624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Fever24c627.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.494544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Fever24c618.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+111.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces76c581.67$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.67851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2dd…61dcbacked Aces77c534.38$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fd…0b33backed Aces76c523.96$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b61…cd0bbacked Aces76c507.98$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Fever24c504.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Fever22c494.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Fever35c432.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Fever27c420.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.52740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Fever24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever25c405.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Fever26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Fever24c357.88$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.873420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Aces76c326.89$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Fever33c303.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Fever33c300.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Fever23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0074…2be0backed Aces69c295.25$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Fever26c288.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Fever26c275.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.071040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Fever26c275.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Aces71c271.85$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.142623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-49.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Fever21c271.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5913044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Aces78c271.4$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Aces77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Fever9c255$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Aces75c245.84$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.711163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Aces67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Aces70c214.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Fever24c211.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.824358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Fever19c205.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3760%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed Fever28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b6…ef36backed Fever28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Fever22c199.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Aces76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever24c194.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.775048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Fever24c190$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Fever17c168.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Fever30c167.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Fever24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70eb…0c4dbacked Fever12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Aces77c160.4$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Aces80c156$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.25143.1%22 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces76c155.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.436560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Fever26c155.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9723234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Fever25c152.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed Fever33c146.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad0…16d0backed Fever14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Aces79c142.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.516100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Aces76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Fever27c130.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Aces77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.