TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5036…416b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
998
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST38845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 388 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.6
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.36
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$53.99
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$62
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 388 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST27643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 276 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.99
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.46
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.01
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$83
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$119.99
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 276 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.58
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.9
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+566.7%+$84.99
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.65
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.18
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Club Brugge vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+90.5%+$95
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Juventus win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Lazio vs. Plzen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.26
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.99
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Plzen win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will PAOK win on 2025-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will the match between FC Porto and Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will FC Twente beat Bodo Glimt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Porto beat Roma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Roma beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Ferencvaros beat Viktoria Plzen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$15.87
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will West Ham vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+25%+$36
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$117.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+233.3%+$24.81
Will Brighton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23.89
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$73.98
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST3354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$28.22
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$32.26
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Illinois State vs. Presbyterian Collegebacked Illinois State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Elon vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$577.88
Manhattan vs. Incarnate Wordbacked Manhattan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$499.46
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$124.1
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$107
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.47
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$212
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$27.53
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Saquon Barkley score a touchdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$8
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will the Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$14
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.4
Packers vs. Ramsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$450
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+99.7%+$80.79
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$129.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Israel military action against Iran in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$433.58
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$140.11
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$12
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$15
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$76
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$308.02
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$76
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$27.99
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+98.1%+$137.76
Will Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.23
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.21
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.18
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$226.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Marlins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.6
Braves vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+315.8%+$480.97
New York Mets vs. Athleticsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.24
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
TEX Rangers vs. CIN Reds April 1backed Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
CHC Cubs vs. OAK Athletics March 31backed Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
SF Giants vs. HOU Astros March 31backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
NYM Mets vs. MIA Marlins March 31backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+57.4%+$40.1
TEX Rangers vs. CIN Reds March 31backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
CHC Cubs vs. ARI Diamondbacks March 30backed Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$50.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Ohio State vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
TCU vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$219.8
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Georgia beat Notre Dame by 2 or more points?backed Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Georgia beat Alabama?backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+114.3%+$16
Will Michigan beat Minnesota?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will USC beat Michigan?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$43.04
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.32
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$6.71
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-53.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$18
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.18
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,023.45
Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+323.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$25.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.