Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bb68f5ccc324d2c4fc781e7882c3bd0588057c4408b0f93c3d81f463118525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,004$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.84 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 75c | 3,907$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 19c | 2,485$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.02 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 61c | 768.29$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.4 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…2dd9backed Yes | 25c | 499.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 23c | 482.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 80c | 438.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 411$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…7d98backed No | 77c | 402.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 350$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 41c | 304$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 79c | 286.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 257.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 237.46$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 28c | 204$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 75c | 189.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 25c | 183.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 77c | 181.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 75c | 147$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked No | 74c | 141.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…59bebacked Yes | 27c | 131.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed No | 75c | 116.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 74c | 99.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9915backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 74c | 86.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 24c | 67.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 79c | 35.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…84b8backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…9b0dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…1bd1backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…bb88backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.