Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d113bd628606389d5f16762e7e6e80f1035276799822ce44e7c9720b9061c2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 51c | 937.73$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 38c | 927.69$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.13 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 77c | 882.07$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.19 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 641.53$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 75c | 560$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 433.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 412$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 352.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 294.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…2b50backed Yes | 27c | 262.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…2dd9backed No | 74c | 198.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 68c | 155$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 52c | 137.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 126.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 54c | 119.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed No | 68c | 113.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…5391backed No | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 68c | 89.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…d6d7backed No | 75c | 83.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…604dbacked No | 75c | 81.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 26c | 76.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Yes | 45c | 56.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 28c | 55.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 59c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 35c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 56c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 73c | 21.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…dc37backed Yes | 74c | 14.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.