TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9d7…25e9backed No55c1,581$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.8737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No52c1,357$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.0316660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No57c1,164$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0634251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc8…3900backed Yes52c1,137$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes30c1,110$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4609148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No50c999.91$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7315337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No52c999.89$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.956959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No50c948.58$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes52c711.54$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes52c645.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes49c492.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No48c472.43$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6614659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes46c390.26$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.526953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No51c354.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes49c333.63$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes49c296.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No52c288$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.247159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes47c269.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes44c233.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1414732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes5c230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes48c207.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.634139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…0afabacked Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked No55c193.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.33116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No54c125.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…4fb0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…75dabacked Yes48c100.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes50c100.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bb…9860backed No53c98.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc895…ff63backed No54c96.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb813…a53bbacked Yes48c96.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb205…5fbbbacked Yes48c94.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x031f…e9aebacked No54c93.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b4…913bbacked Yes48c92.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9043…2465backed No53c90.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c8…6533backed No53c89.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bea…3403backed No53c88.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5a…413cbacked No54c85.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…0536backed Yes48c85.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x342f…e786backed Yes48c85.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0728…0c70backed No53c84.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…6d96backed Yes48c83.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0a…6b93backed No53c82.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b0…586bbacked Yes48c75.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c73.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes51c69.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes48c68.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Yes48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes48c62.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…62b7backed Yes49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes48c54.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.514754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfab…236dbacked No50c45.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…8362backed Yes50c45.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…42aebacked No49c45.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6c…94ecbacked Yes51c45.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d90…dfbcbacked No53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9da…d7b7backed Yes49c44.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37cc…e1a5backed Yes50c43.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae40…7e72backed Yes50c42.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a8…9befbacked Yes47c41.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…af0dbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c4d…01dabacked No53c40.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…66a1backed Yes49c39.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ef…0ecfbacked No50c39.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes48c38.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa20c…1d6bbacked Yes49c37.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0b…62b4backed Yes50c37.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa981…76cbbacked No50c37.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe107…4d7bbacked Yes48c37.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a81…375fbacked Yes50c36.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5612357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb389…6bf7backed Yes49c35.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0289…5be5backed No51c35.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b7…62c8backed No50c35.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f1…9d3abacked Yes50c35.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0648…2d1abacked No51c34.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes52c34.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.699334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…37a8backed No50c33.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+137.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x985f…deeebacked Yes49c33.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.