TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9ee…5b0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$107.86
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.25
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+658.6%+$1,104.92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$249.29
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.27
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$18.9
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$248.66
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$63.84
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$9.66
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$230.4
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$43.39
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.66
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$68.79
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.09
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$561.13
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.19
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$111.72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$47.14
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$27.93
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+46%+$50.58
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$35.29
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$50.63
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+26.6%+$31.9
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.7
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$164.49
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.9
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+281.7%+$76.05
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$28.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.51
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.6
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.18
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munarbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+35.1%+$52.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$32.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.