Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da81003b84738e6edd6b2c378ca06960df9907f978a8f8fe91d37de6aa2e594

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $400,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $431,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	50c	36,433$18,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,074.95	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	49c	21,885$10,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,256.04	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed No	46c	20,000$9,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,199.89	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	50c	19,673$9,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,809.82	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	39c	17,967$7,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,028.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	54c	17,941$9,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,233.52	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	61c	16,847$10,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,539.25	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	41c	14,936$6,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,173.52	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	62c	14,610$9,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,541.67	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	46c	13,952$6,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,466.53	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d6…a60abacked Yes	52c	11,403$5,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,473.38	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	47c	11,400$5,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,408.66	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	38c	10,401$3,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.79	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e4…03febacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	39c	8,312$3,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,254.35	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	37c	6,605$2,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,443.89	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes	55c	5,455$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.55	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	48c	5,344$2,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,542.84	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	54c	5,232$2,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,423.78	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	49c	5,130$2,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,513.81	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes	54c	4,975$2,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,288.39	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed No	63c	4,876$3,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,086.13	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes	60c	4,799$2,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936.22	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	56c	4,195$2,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830.67	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	44c	4,138$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,810.24	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9f92…7568backed Yes	54c	4,007$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.27	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes	61c	3,907$2,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.74	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	37c	3,778$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.91	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…b6d0backed Yes	55c	3,679$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	41c	3,658$1,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482.58	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	52c	3,656$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.06	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	55c	3,600$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.98	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	59c	3,487$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.8	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a8…c5edbacked No	48c	3,409$1,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,646.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	70c	3,111$2,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,164.95	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	45c	3,080$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385.85	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes	63c	3,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	41c	3,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.36	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	51c	2,602$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.73	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	38c	2,431$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.89	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No	44c	2,277$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.83	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	52c	2,142$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.9	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	57c	2,115$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.53	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	63c	2,098$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.22	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	59c	2,000$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.68	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed No	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	30cpaid	+525%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f88…2a93backed Yes	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	22cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.99	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	55c	2,000$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.99	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4078…a7f7backed Yes	63c	1,950$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.5	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No	43c	1,909$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.9	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd337…235dbacked Yes	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	61c	1,640$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.6	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked No	43c	1,624$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.74	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	45c	1,615$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.33	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c2…a675backed Yes	62c	1,591$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.5	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	35c	1,562$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.89	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	44c	1,542$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.46	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	49c	1,533$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.63	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	42c	1,530$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.68	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	77c	1,524$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.24	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	56c	1,493$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.07	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	54c	1,455$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.08	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	41c	1,452$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.98	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	42c	1,434$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	57c	1,420$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.58	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	37c	1,408$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.35	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	45c	1,371$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.48	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes	51c	1,362$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.38	173	56.6%98 W · 75 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Yes	66c	1,356$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.36	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No	47c	1,337$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.54	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	49c	1,336$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.7	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	55c	1,334$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	36c	1,278$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.3	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	54c	1,250$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.29	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291b…05aebacked Yes	54c	1,246$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	47c	1,239$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.72	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	43c	1,226$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.47	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	55c	1,045$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.45	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes	62c	1,034$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.83	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	54c	1,015$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.41	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked Yes	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	57c	999.99$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked No	51c	981.37$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes	63c	970.61$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.89	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	54c	960.86$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.92	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7371…cadebacked Yes	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	43c	921.96$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.39	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	60c	900$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c17…d983backed Yes	65c	872.48$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.48	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	49c	870$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.1	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed No	39c	800$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…b413backed Yes	55c	794.72$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.08	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	61cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	48c	766$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.04	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event