Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66dfece624b1a37854515001d5514ee2263fb5ae4c8120ec264d47c677a22c1a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $220,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $206,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,666 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8725…eb10backed No	37c	17,228$6,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,454.65	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	35c	14,967$5,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,721.63	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	31c	10,190$3,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,022.4	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	51c	8,163$4,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,003.9	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	46c	6,924$3,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,709.09	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Yes	37c	5,992$2,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,779.76	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	38c	5,636$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.75	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	65c	5,500$3,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,575	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	71c	5,072$3,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,576.06	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	43c	5,001$2,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,834.03	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	46c	4,979$2,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,673.88	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	72c	4,426$3,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,171.27	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	48c	4,000$1,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.99	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	35c	3,777$1,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,448	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes	35c	3,500$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,259	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.96	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	52c	2,997$1,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.84	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No	77c	2,900$2,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,233	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	47c	2,836$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.22	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	72c	2,728$1,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.74	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	57c	2,597$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.16	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	30c	2,550$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.5	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	31c	2,476$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.21	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	48c	2,271$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.32	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	38c	2,220$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,376.21	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed No	54c	2,184$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.56	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	48c	2,125$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.25	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	74c	2,040$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.64	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No	66c	2,029$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.32	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	31c	2,023$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397.84	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	64c	2,002$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.9	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	66c	2,000$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.9	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	67c	1,899$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.33	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes	47c	1,863$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.43	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No	63c	1,752$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	57c	1,703$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.93	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	61c	1,700$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.51	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked Yes	31c	1,619$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.41	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	51c	1,558$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.38	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes	33c	1,393$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.32	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No	53c	1,229$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.17	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	47c	1,223$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.67	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed No	52c	1,135$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.21	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6996…be96backed Yes	49c	1,022$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	52c	1,000$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	38c	1,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7c…d095backed Yes	33c	999.97$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.98	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	48c	984.85$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.8	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	79c	972.92$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.7	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	36c	899.99$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.99	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1caf…6438backed No	54c	883.17$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.02	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Yes	74c	878.06$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.06	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	51c	855.63$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.62	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	63c	800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	37c	789.99$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.79	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes	38c	789.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.47	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	41c	781.88$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.84	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	64c	781.25$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	48c	747.49$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.45	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed No	67c	741.89$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	5c	734.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.27	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	65c	715.74$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.67	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…73f6backed Yes	61c	704.55$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.27	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-9.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	30c	702.65$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.97	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed Yes	30c	700$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	37c	680$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.4	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	54c	676$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.17	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed No	52c	620.96$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.46	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes	49c	596.85$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.99	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	36c	559.01$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.76	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4656…6944backed Yes	37c	551.81$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked No	60c	542.81$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.86	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	6c	538.26$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.19	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	47c	516.55$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.34	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No	64c	500$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	63c	500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	50c	500$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.06	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	31c	499.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.99	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7d…b87fbacked No	51c	498.65$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe158…509fbacked No	56c	496.11$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.73	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c2…a675backed Yes	51c	490.19$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.06	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed Yes	38c	489.76$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.52	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	37c	472.97$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.97	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c3…5b2dbacked Yes	33c	466.67$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.67	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+35%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	63c	436.08$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.72	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	29c	426$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.46	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed Yes	48c	420.92$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.45	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	46c	404.98$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.53	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes	31c	403.96$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.73	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	68c	401.5$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.02	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfce…80c7backed No	75c	400$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81e0…a5aebacked Yes	35c	400$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No	51c	399.98$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.71	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	29c	391.17$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.8	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	39c	387.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.17	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed Yes	47c	384$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.06	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	48c	378.94$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.2	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc251…a5d3backed No	77c	371$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	34c	363.76$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event