TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed No69c22,579$15,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,582.5531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes29c14,719$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.3174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f7…78ebbacked Yes41c10,934$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,482.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes39c8,892$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.5520955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No60c7,314$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.7424028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No62c5,481$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.152,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7d…b87fbacked Yes42c5,281$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No60c4,785$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.827643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes40c4,729$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.5426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No60c4,291$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.858926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Yes32c4,029$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.784420.5%9 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes40c3,339$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.664346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes28c3,191$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.5447235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No48c3,179$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.4187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No52c3,146$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.669647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No70c3,000$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.573554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes55c2,867$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.042,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes44c2,500$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.84936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No62c2,348$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.2518545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No78c2,336$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.9611637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16019929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1807339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes39c1,998$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.7713748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes71c1,990$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.7223644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes32c1,883$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.243635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No60c1,784$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.147941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes38c1,723$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.0319148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No71c1,524$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.861,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes73c1,514$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.892317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid+37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes27c1,420$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.7426940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes57c1,349$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.467045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes78c1,306$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8226344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes37c1,301$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No36c1,298$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3622125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No71c1,241$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.743835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No63c1,214$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.8258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No60c1,211$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9618636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5667…bb43backed Yes45c1,137$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.252441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed No69c1,100$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.217335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes37c1,051$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.935033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes51c995$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.5516741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes36c965.91$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.9113011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No77c907.26$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.598842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No63c850.33$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.895855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No59c834$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0616540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes28c831.16$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.314920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No55c705.5$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5112744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed No64c666.67$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8810940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes43c660.84$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6812945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No60c654$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.412352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c645$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf869…52a7backed Yes30c600$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4192548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…73f6backed No47c561.35$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.588032.5%26 W · 54 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No75c554.29$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2322242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a6…7f42backed Yes44c524.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No4c519$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.766098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558a…0a8bbacked Yes31c516.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.133339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No60c504$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.425638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No56c473.05$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9118641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No46c451.38$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes30c425.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.386541.5%27 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c423$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c422.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.673,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes25c401.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.387334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c387.49$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.81,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Yes27c373.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.685740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b51…866ebacked No42c372.84$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.023333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes41c353.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.853020%6 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x485f…7696backed Yes40c352.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked No72c347.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes34c342.53$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No69c317.4$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21919825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes44c308.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5615240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes18c307.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4732629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255527.3%15 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes30c299.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9913846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes40c275$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c270$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.352,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97f…2390backed Yes26c260.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes24c253.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.75451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No58c250$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.521239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…af22backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd8…141dbacked No65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.893447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes41c241.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.598959.6%53 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c238.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32e…9a40backed Yes43c232.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes35c228.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.945125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No50c228$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa63…2809backed Yes40c222$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No60c221$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.016740.3%27 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Yes46c217.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4563152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No70c214$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.810270.6%72 W · 30 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Yes24c211.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.494542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9819…45afbacked Yes48c204.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No69c200.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2918139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11617632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.