Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04fb8f9cca46cad94b3b5314533aa593fb396d40b7c45be8888de918c9cac367

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $226,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $238,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf742…e039backed Yes	28c	35,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,199.98	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	71c	15,966$11,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,347.91	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2897…3656backed Yes	29c	14,540$4,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,285.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+241.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6885…c478backed Yes	36c	13,286$4,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,456.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	66c	9,956$6,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,608.23	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	75c	9,215$6,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,884.32	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	68c	7,698$5,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,234.63	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	30c	7,292$2,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,083.47	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	66c	7,291$4,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,812.64	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No	69c	7,083$4,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,887.27	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	34c	6,610$2,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,387.38	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes	34c	5,962$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,961.75	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	48c	5,794$2,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,032.28	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	63c	5,359$3,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,386.2	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	69c	5,187$3,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,566.89	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	62c	4,370$2,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,718.16	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	63c	4,352$2,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,736.16	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	66c	4,345$2,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,888.1	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	50c	4,134$2,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.61	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	71c	4,071$2,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,876.02	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	69c	4,040$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,772.51	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	66c	3,197$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.75	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	67c	3,162$2,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,106.48	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1a…5742backed Yes	32c	3,071$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,088.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	73c	3,002$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,204.09	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed No	71c	2,980$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.78	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No	69c	2,850$1,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,973.96	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked No	66c	2,778$1,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,839.28	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	32c	2,682$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,824.48	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	66c	2,576$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.12	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a3…2a0dbacked Yes	34c	2,324$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,523.91	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	69c	2,200$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	42c	2,145$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.52	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	69c	2,109$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.42	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7828…e558backed No	74c	2,059$1,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,523.39	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	63c	2,028$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.12	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	35c	1,897$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.38	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	35c	1,800$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	67c	1,688$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.14	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No	65c	1,610$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.5	134	47.8%64 W · 70 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	33c	1,600$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.99	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	32c	1,560$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.8	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	30c	1,500$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	31c	1,490$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.79	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No	68c	1,435$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.79	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	68c	1,428$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.46	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	67c	1,365$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.91	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	39c	1,351$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.63	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	67c	1,337$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.84	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	67c	1,273$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.99	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	69c	1,263$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.37	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Yes	32c	1,250$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	64c	1,208$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.88	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	65c	1,200$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.73	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	67c	1,122$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.04	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	63c	1,118$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	39c	1,088$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.37	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	66c	1,083$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.97	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	59c	1,072$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.38	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	30c	1,058$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	65c	999.99$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.99	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	41c	984.28$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.28	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed No	64c	971.41$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.7	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No	66c	968.18$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	58c	923.23$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.77	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	31c	919.35$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.35	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No	73c	875$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.75	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	64c	865.05$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	62c	812.81$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.95	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	65c	770.87$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.26	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…b246backed Yes	40c	747.2$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…2656backed Yes	28c	719.99$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.4	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	35c	717$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.07	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes	35c	714.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.29	197	48.7%96 W · 101 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	65c	655.74$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.23	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	64c	649.17$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.47	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd6…48d4backed Yes	38c	646.5$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.63	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+24%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a1…b214backed Yes	37c	646$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…ac75backed Yes	32c	625.22$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.22	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	32c	625$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f88…2a93backed Yes	33c	614.62$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	22cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	67c	613$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.23	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	31c	600$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.5	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	48c	598.37$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.2	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	68c	519.06$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.96	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…1cbebacked Yes	32c	516.56$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.26	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	66c	500$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.5	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	67c	472.72$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.72	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	32c	468.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.75	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	34c	453.88$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.18	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No	61c	450$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.5	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes	33c	450$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.5	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	57c	450$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.55	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	70c	431.39$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.97	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	28c	430$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.9	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes	35c	428.57$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.57	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc0…d6b3backed Yes	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	65c	399.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked No	70c	395$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.5	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event