Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e4a803eafa8e369020eee21467513175d46718c0e62cfcb85682992eb47ce1

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $376,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $364,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,855 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe8c2…3048backed No	53c	23,777$12,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,268.34	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	47c	20,817$9,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,856.67	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	52c	15,506$8,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,492.95	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked No	54c	15,485$8,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,054.58	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	8c	15,123$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.21	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	49c	15,000$7,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,349.4	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	52c	13,893$7,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,269.88	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	47c	11,835$5,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,570.32	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	48c	11,039$5,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,751.5	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes	51c	9,295$4,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,745.33	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89f…9475backed Yes	51c	8,989$4,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,584.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	45c	8,500$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	40c	8,321$3,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,306.39	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	44c	7,740$3,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,427.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	47c	7,679$3,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,082.89	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	53c	7,500$3,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,535.43	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	44c	6,161$2,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,687.44	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	52c	5,470$2,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,646.95	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.99	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	52c	4,755$2,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,259.08	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed Yes	49c	4,754$2,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.98	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No	52c	4,579$2,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,179.24	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	61c	4,419$2,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,729.33	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	36c	4,382$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.97	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	63c	4,228$2,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,544.65	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	51c	4,218$2,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,151.07	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes	48c	4,100$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	54c	4,068$2,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.98	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Yes	54c	3,687$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	56c	3,674$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.16	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	36c	3,630$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.34	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	41c	3,291$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.35	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	54c	3,050$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397.49	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	66c	3,034$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.96	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	49c	3,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.99	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	44c	2,976$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.69	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…049fbacked No	57c	2,766$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.96	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	57c	2,739$1,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.38	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	56c	2,705$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.01	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	47c	2,544$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.38	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	51c	2,544$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.86	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	52c	2,442$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.01	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7499…dfbfbacked No	53c	2,193$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	57c	2,189$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.71	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	45c	2,133$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.27	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	53c	2,023$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.6	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No	53c	2,006$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.02	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	46c	2,001$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.62	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	49c	2,000$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.99	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.98	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes	47c	1,980$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.41	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	42c	1,925$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.35	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	46c	1,892$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.44	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed No	53c	1,888$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.74	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Yes	54c	1,840$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.59	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	36c	1,831$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…f03fbacked Yes	28c	1,796$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	56c	1,746$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.06	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No	55c	1,740$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.75	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No	66c	1,700$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.99	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	58c	1,667$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.45	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	52c	1,647$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.59	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	51c	1,643$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.36	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	68c	1,619$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.42	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes	44c	1,603$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed No	51c	1,600$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.38	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	36c	1,583$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.25	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Yes	54c	1,420$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.8	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	23c	1,403$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.77	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	47c	1,400$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Yes	49c	1,366$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked No	76c	1,323$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.65	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No	49c	1,275$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.12	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	56c	1,241$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.95	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked No	50c	1,209$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.98	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed No	53c	1,206$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.88	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	52c	1,169$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x703b…51f9backed Yes	43c	1,168$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No	54c	1,148$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.15	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	73c	1,110$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.88	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	37c	1,088$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.04	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No	52c	1,060$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.8	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+6.7wins	+0.25per pick	38cpaid	+76.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	52c	1,022$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Yes	49c	1,019$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed No	52c	1,016$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.21	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	48c	1,011$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.24	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…8dc7backed Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fb…e81cbacked Yes	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	36cpaid	+81.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab99…1895backed No	60c	993.23$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.23	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	41c	975.61$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	57c	967.96$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.97	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35c…096ebacked Yes	35c	951.68$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…2897backed Yes	53c	951.63$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	48c	922.37$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.12	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe835…cd50backed Yes	26c	916.67$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event