Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62338cbfd5ee359c69a883a2b2be023cb0200e03922f14826c896f387ecdb13

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $141,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $140,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	15c	18,375$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.29	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes	26c	14,395$3,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,733.33	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	74c	8,930$6,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,308.69	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	75c	8,255$6,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.56	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Yes	5c	7,920$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.23	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	22c	3,506$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.52	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	29c	3,459$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.97	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1caf…6438backed No	72c	3,196$2,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.92	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	21c	2,999$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.89	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	24c	2,686$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.65	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	72c	2,469$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.78	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.99	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No	71c	1,905$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.4	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed Yes	28c	1,724$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.75	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	78c	1,658$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.47	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	20c	1,549$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.21	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	30c	1,436$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.54	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	76c	1,423$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.31	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	69c	1,419$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.95	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked No	73c	1,357$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.35	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	77c	1,192$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.41	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	28c	1,101$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.23	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No	80c	1,100$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes	19c	1,020$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.36	195	17.9%35 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	75c	1,014$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.48	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	980$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8503…abddbacked Yes	18c	941.18$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.41	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	20c	935.37$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.07	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes	23c	800$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe947…ab96backed Yes	18c	800$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.87	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	14c	755.21$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.29	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	27c	738.18$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.98	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked No	76c	700$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	25c	700$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No	75c	666.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4471…19ffbacked Yes	36c	650$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.5	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	72c	633.56$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.6	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	77c	633.1$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.88	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2132…7657backed No	66c	600.99$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	79c	600$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	18c	600$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	28c	599.98$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	27c	577.55$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.94	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	29c	496$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.84	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	16c	433.79$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Yes	18c	430.01$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.1	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e03…c97bbacked Yes	18c	408.39$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.21	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes	30c	402.3$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	70c	399.99$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	75c	371$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.37	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Yes	25c	350$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.56	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	25c	349.74$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.22	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	73c	347.4$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.95	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	69c	345.39$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.05	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed No	72c	344.96$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.59	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0b…3088backed Yes	28c	344.83$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x003b…8a28backed Yes	29c	341.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	77c	340$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.2	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes	19c	335.69$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	72c	294.71$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.52	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed No	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes	18c	277.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No	72c	276$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	102	70.6%72 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	77c	258$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.62	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked No	71c	250$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.5	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	63c	250$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked No	72c	250$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ac…fb20backed Yes	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	29c	243.13$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.2	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	23c	241.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	18c	239$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f22…dbb1backed Yes	30c	233.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	29c	231.41$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.11	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	70c	226.73$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.58	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	62c	226$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.88	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb8f…c679backed No	75c	200.56$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.56	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed No	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	184	43.5%80 W · 104 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd33…eee4backed Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	76c	192$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.02	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No	70c	190.26$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.08	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	42c	182$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.59	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	76c	177$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.48	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	16c	158.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4663…7ed9backed No	72c	157.65$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.14	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked No	74c	150$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	238	55.5%132 W · 106 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…317fbacked No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9997…1661backed No	71c	137.61$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.91	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x809c…1d60backed No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+84.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe77…b4c4backed No	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…475abacked No	70c	130$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.3	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fbc…acc7backed Yes	19c	125.63$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes	20c	125.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No	73c	120$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked Yes	26c	116.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event