Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ea855bd19f78e136d6d2ebf8ca20dbeabcd123b464cbda065a0d6cf35c200f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $206,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $209,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe123…34c2backed Yes	71c	6,363$4,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,523.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	65c	6,164$3,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,992.58	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	52c	5,362$2,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,565.62	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	51c	5,278$2,683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,594.51	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	35c	5,259$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,418.08	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	10c	4,270$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	35c	3,774$1,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,463.08	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Yes	67c	3,625$2,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,442.06	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	60c	3,570$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.4	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	37c	3,264$1,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,054.73	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	47c	3,162$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,660.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	52c	3,022$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.51	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	51c	2,660$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	46c	2,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.99	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	54c	2,345$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.52	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	29c	2,342$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.99	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	44c	2,316$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.16	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	66c	2,293$1,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.35	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	67c	2,267$1,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.22	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…5dc0backed Yes	68c	2,216$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes	48c	2,202$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.78	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	37c	2,200$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,395.72	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	42c	2,197$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.64	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	31c	2,192$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.57	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	50c	2,186$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.63	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	51c	2,087$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	47c	2,051$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.97	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76c2…a675backed Yes	52c	2,019$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	40c	2,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,209.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed Yes	49c	1,888$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.11	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No	55c	1,828$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.97	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	35c	1,777$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.52	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	51c	1,751$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.71	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	69c	1,696$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.02	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	32c	1,652$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.69	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No	31c	1,635$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.95	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	50c	1,595$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	50c	1,572$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.2	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	29c	1,564$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110.44	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	52c	1,543$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.36	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	53c	1,539$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.59	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	53c	1,533$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.95	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	45c	1,500$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	53c	1,493$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.93	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	57c	1,425$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.09	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	49c	1,399$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	50c	1,384$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.03	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x255c…af49backed Yes	51c	1,309$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.4	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	46c	1,283$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.19	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	51c	1,269$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.05	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	51c	1,227$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.81	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	49c	1,200$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.85	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	66c	1,083$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	64c	1,068$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.63	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	49c	1,066$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.46	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Yes	47c	1,065$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed No	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	49c	999.99$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb51…fe5abacked No	54c	999.97$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	74	28.4%21 W · 53 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	51c	991.17$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.4	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	69c	984$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.65	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	48c	981.48$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.68	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	51c	948.65$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.85	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No	42c	923.88$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.88	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	63c	920$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.4	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	52c	900$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked No	50c	886.76$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.38	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	64c	863.11$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.39	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	29c	862$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.02	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes	46c	850.94$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.43	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Yes	48c	809.49$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	43c	806.2$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.08	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	31c	800.54$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.35	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf44a…cc0bbacked No	31c	781.3$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	48c	780.53$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.14	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	48c	772.42$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.81	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	29c	768$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.28	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed Yes	70c	715$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.5	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	63c	710$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.3	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	42c	661.15$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.04	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes	67c	641.02$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No	30c	636.93$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.85	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29cb…5645backed Yes	63c	632.98$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.78	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	25c	604$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.8	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Yes	70c	571.43$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	56c	566.34$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.32	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	54c	564.3$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.58	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e84…a101backed No	36c	558.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.33	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x664d…babdbacked No	56c	535.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.71	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	55c	531.99$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.17	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	30c	523.06$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.14	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	49c	515$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.35	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…ab96backed No	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	33c	492.55$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.88	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event