Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fbf1a27674aca45df1dbc42d0116e08a837ea2202a11d034159f2dc4a925f8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $258,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $256,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfea3…d227backed No	52c	27,520$14,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,113.56	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	56c	18,361$10,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,082.26	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes	26c	18,100$4,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,705.13	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	49c	15,567$7,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,680.37	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	43c	13,386$5,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,779.62	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	70c	13,120$9,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,913.82	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes	49c	10,800$5,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,292	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	51c	10,000$5,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,869.59	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	41c	8,993$3,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,644.09	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	32c	8,989$2,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,920.29	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No	51c	8,967$4,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,426.95	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	50c	8,009$4,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,004.44	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	74c	7,090$5,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.49	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	73c	6,827$4,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.63	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	42c	6,486$2,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,710.8	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	30c	5,991$1,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,814.33	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	27c	5,219$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.92	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	60c	5,137$3,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,054.21	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	53c	4,337$2,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,038.21	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	47c	4,326$2,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.08	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	62c	3,310$2,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.86	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	71c	3,263$2,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.91	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a8…c5edbacked Yes	45c	3,215$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	28c	3,041$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.94	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	32c	3,000$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.99	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	74c	2,825$2,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.55	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	47c	2,767$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.86	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	60c	2,750$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.5	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	31c	2,744$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	64c	2,658$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.32	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	60c	2,648$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.87	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No	74c	2,608$1,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.11	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…a5cfbacked No	54c	2,593$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.59	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked No	54c	2,562$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.72	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	48cpaid	+93.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	54c	2,463$1,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.28	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	46c	2,435$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.73	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No	51c	2,381$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.82	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	69c	2,053$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.98	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	72c	2,035$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.6	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed No	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	59c	1,958$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.74	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	32c	1,800$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.99	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	48c	1,750$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.5	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	73c	1,684$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.78	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	30c	1,531$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.82	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	46c	1,500$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.97	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	73c	1,466$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.75	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	49c	1,429$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	74c	1,400$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.85	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	73c	1,377$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.82	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	30c	1,375$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.48	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	74c	1,305$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.64	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	62c	1,298$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.66	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed No	52c	1,279$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.91	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	53c	1,277$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.7	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes	33c	1,225$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.81	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	60c	1,217$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.64	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Yes	48c	1,185$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	31c	1,164$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.26	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No	71c	1,153$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.34	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	71c	1,134$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.3	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	14c	1,096$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.84	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No	73c	1,078$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.1	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes	29c	1,026$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…1cbebacked Yes	50c	1,019$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.6	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x577b…ad6abacked Yes	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	52c	999.95$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	45c	988.52$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.83	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4471…19ffbacked Yes	44c	976.48$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.54	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	44c	969$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.36	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes	35c	941.58$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	69c	940.22$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.92	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	28c	917.99$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.76	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	71c	905.1$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.48	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	71c	899.99$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff20…7bcabacked Yes	30c	893.68$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.04	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	62c	883.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	40c	853.86$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.89	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	48c	800$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	18c	800$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	74c	799.99$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	38c	780.4$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.31	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	72c	768.07$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.74	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	71c	767.92$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.6	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	59c	739.01$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.83	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	58c	701.4$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.17	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…882dbacked Yes	45c	700$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	63c	669.15$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.27	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes	27c	657.45$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.39	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	33c	647.5$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.11	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes	37c	638.49$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.29	124	33.9%42 W · 82 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes	31c	628.82$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.04	195	17.9%35 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e9…6377backed Yes	47c	605.99$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	74c	598$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.48	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	34c	586.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event