Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0092c9ccb9e89ad262bcc89a544430676c59b9bdeb8649e0baa665941115c2f2

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed No	76c	6,044$4,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.38	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	22c	4,483$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.62	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes	13c	4,150$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.66	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	75c	4,080$3,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.44	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	74c	2,806$2,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.59	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	76c	2,243$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.38	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…f03fbacked Yes	24c	2,108$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	16c	2,000$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.68	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35dc…b9efbacked Yes	25c	1,962$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	28c	1,956$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.47	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	16c	1,942$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.44	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	13c	1,867$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.09	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes	29c	1,727$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	76c	1,676$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.17	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Yes	24c	1,661$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.47	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4471…19ffbacked Yes	25c	1,619$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.85	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	74c	1,525$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f2…8d4cbacked Yes	27c	1,505$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	79c	1,454$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.29	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…4673backed Yes	26c	1,430$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked No	76c	1,419$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.22	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	76c	1,301$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.19	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c6…c4febacked Yes	15c	1,200$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	75c	1,190$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.98	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524f…319bbacked Yes	24c	1,146$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.04	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	71c	1,121$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.07	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	73c	1,084$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.7	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	74c	1,079$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.85	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed Yes	21c	1,077$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.24	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes	25c	1,023$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe835…cd50backed Yes	24c	1,018$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	13c	999.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	74c	997.92$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.46	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	77c	882.95$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.58	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes	23c	848.3$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.27	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	77c	799.98$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	77c	767.43$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.6	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	14c	742.83$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a9…4cbdbacked Yes	28c	718.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	25c	710.14$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.33	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d99…de53backed Yes	17c	698.46$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	21c	684.09$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.3	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	72c	676.93$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.2	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	15c	646.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	74c	591.69$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.84	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	78c	577.89$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.73	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc173…b6bdbacked Yes	26c	574.48$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	74c	560$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.6	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	74c	537.16$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.16	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	14c	522.35$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.04	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd4…e342backed Yes	29c	511.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	75c	501.99$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.19	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	74c	499.96$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	15c	477.75$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.18	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed5…f666backed Yes	22c	471$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…4fd2backed Yes	26c	467.29$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.37	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed No	75c	452$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	14c	434.62$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.85	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d45…c60ebacked Yes	24c	420.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e3…626dbacked Yes	24c	419.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed No	74c	418.95$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	61cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc298…27febacked Yes	24c	417.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c61…66a3backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…3f3fbacked Yes	24c	415.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked No	75c	410.39$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.48	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x230c…dec7backed Yes	24c	410$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c7…92a4backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d4…ce14backed Yes	23c	400$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No	74c	394.12$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.47	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb81c…c113backed Yes	26c	386.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716f…7ed3backed Yes	26c	382.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	18c	363$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	72c	362.9$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	3c	346.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4719…eab1backed Yes	30c	334.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf775…9c53backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed Yes	24c	324.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4002…c185backed Yes	16c	321.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	18c	321.39$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f9…060bbacked Yes	28c	288.63$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes	17c	285.65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	25c	279.98$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.29	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f70…95f5backed Yes	17c	261.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes	23c	261.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c79…a3d9backed Yes	25c	260.23$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	72c	250$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked No	79c	250$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.72	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416e…8d43backed Yes	26c	240$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	74c	240$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x109d…4b20backed Yes	27c	239.91$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.78	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	24c	233.45$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.09	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	73c	232.06$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd03e…abe5backed Yes	19c	232$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	24c	222.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes	21c	219.54$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event