Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bb9d663ed19f092bc9fc404d876851722eaf3473a6baa3c1109df3e6e0b5e4

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes	1c	11,501$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.01	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a28…03bdbacked Yes	17c	1,286$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.84	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dab…2407backed Yes	14c	1,179$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes	17c	883.53$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	18c	827.39$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	793.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x716f…7ed3backed Yes	19c	773.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	5c	727.6$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	10c	575.31$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.84	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0d…52d2backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b0…427ebacked Yes	11c	444$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	11c	350$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef11…7446backed Yes	17c	299.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503e…999cbacked Yes	18c	168.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5df…8f9bbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	79c	166.29$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	12c	165.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes	16c	156.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	10c	135.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	11c	90.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1c49…3e89backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event