Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0d30bdef8f907d6eef46cbd75096edb743bc252ab00767f8bcdf3dc436a67e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,730 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	10c	14,881$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.09	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	12c	4,594$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.43	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	9c	1,016$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.91	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	11c	785.26$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes	7c	412.22$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x739a…e18bbacked Yes	11c	279.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.66	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	9c	259.48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Yes	10c	257.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	10c	250.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	12c	237.35$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.21	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	7c	229.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	14c	137$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…132dbacked Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes	11c	108.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	11c	103.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event