TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1154…0d31backed Yes5c24,747$1,174 inLost-$1,174.32911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-61.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Yes3c3,326$100 inLost-$1006726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes7c2,772$200 inLost-$2004035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…edcdbacked Yes3c2,082$70 inLost-$702634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bf…bd58backed Yes3c1,446$37 inLost-$373531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes4c1,251$50 inLost-$5035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,059$15 inLost-$14.626098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd385…b922backed Yes3c1,037$35 inLost-$35.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2f…e27ebacked Yes2c864.86$20 inLost-$202516%4 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes3c600$17 inLost-$17.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes6c520$30 inLost-$29.8569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x417d…08f7backed Yes2c513.24$10 inLost-$103920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes5c405.79$19 inLost-$18.6521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes20c333$68 inLost-$67.6633.2%2 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe640…1291backed Yes3c321.85$11 inLost-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0531…aa5abacked Yes4c300$11 inLost-$10.55949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…584fbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost-$248448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Yes3c295$10 inLost-$1012532.8%41 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…4ef2backed Yes4c272.5$11 inLost-$10.733923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes6c266.86$16 inLost-$15.621517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x003b…8a28backed Yes7c236.5$17 inLost-$17.031811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-79.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$12.412829.7%38 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.