Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ddf2373c4c9d01a305666b767d768c7e85fc329df2fd6f489ea57318c8f9a20

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $606,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $678,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	53c	44,946$23,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,139.28	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	17c	32,638$5,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,672.97	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	24c	26,913$6,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,423.33	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	34c	22,416$7,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,648.57	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	71c	21,900$15,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,261.22	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	15c	21,702$3,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,268.57	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	21c	16,371$3,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,372.35	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	28c	13,696$3,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,835.01	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	46c	11,666$5,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,377.43	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	47c	11,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,199.99	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	18c	10,400$1,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,893.87	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,699.98	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	32c	9,450$3,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,024.42	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	76c	9,041$6,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,203.41	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	56c	8,836$4,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,873.79	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	46c	7,380$3,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,415.28	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	48c	6,574$3,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,143.83	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	26c	6,462$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,698.11	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	23c	5,348$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,117.32	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	47c	4,707$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.35	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	75c	4,692$3,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.93	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	70c	4,649$3,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.97	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes	74c	4,303$3,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.96	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4613…8c44backed No	50c	3,958$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,978.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	80c	3,483$2,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.68	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked No	15c	3,361$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.17	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	32c	3,300$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	59c	3,003$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.39	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	76c	2,990$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.66	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	54c	2,902$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,337.7	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	56c	2,855$1,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.18	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No	32c	2,671$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.45	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	21c	2,528$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	56c	2,525$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.09	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	48c	2,461$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.32	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	53c	2,360$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.21	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	34c	2,358$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	20c	2,281$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.86	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	14c	2,246$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.74	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	14c	2,222$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.07	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	68c	2,121$1,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.97	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	25c	2,076$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.17	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	25c	2,055$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.19	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	46c	2,050$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	31c	2,040$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.62	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	30c	2,037$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.99	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked No	26c	2,025$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.83	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…bbb7backed No	17c	1,988$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	25c	1,959$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.05	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed No	18c	1,944$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0e…9e77backed Yes	53c	1,902$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.89	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	24c	1,863$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.81	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e15…ec35backed Yes	61c	1,800$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	52c	1,734$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.42	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	24c	1,705$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.4	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	15c	1,660$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.96	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No	32c	1,659$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.3	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	15c	1,657$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,403.15	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed No	19c	1,579$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	15c	1,555$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.25	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	47c	1,500$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No	18c	1,473$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.13	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	21c	1,439$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.59	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	53c	1,415$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.09	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.89	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes	52c	1,379$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.12	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	13c	1,366$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.84	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	74c	1,354$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.89	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	47c	1,352$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.47	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	20c	1,352$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.97	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	27c	1,240$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.19	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	15c	1,206$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.91	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	13c	1,179$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.33	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	75c	1,172$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.26	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	31c	1,163$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.26	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	21c	1,135$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.26	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	57c	1,107$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.63	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	67c	1,043$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.08	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed No	41c	1,018$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.38	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed No	18c	1,016$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.88	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	72c	1,004$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.59	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	164	25.6%42 W · 122 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	58c	999.99$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	63c	999.67$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.89	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	22c	960.5$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.26	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	27c	917.04$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.15	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd782…c56cbacked Yes	53c	894.06$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.21	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	39c	889.59$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.65	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	68c	849.99$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed No	14c	833.7$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Yes	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	100	60%60 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked No	27c	825$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.65	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	40c	782.07$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.09	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x528d…98c4backed Yes	71c	768.4$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.24	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event