Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fcb797f9fe61b87a8e52b545ac5a73076a92a3c3d3237c7086b671931618b8d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1154…0d31backed Yes	13c	17,035$2,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,213.84	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	11c	4,917$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.48	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	11c	2,000$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.21	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	14c	884$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.94	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	11c	649.23$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.12	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	13c	623.46$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.01	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	13c	518.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	12c	500$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e28…e5efbacked Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	13c	385$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	91	8.8%8 W · 83 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	12c	334$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	11c	304.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.39	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	88	25%22 W · 66 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	11c	244.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…fc71backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	11c	226.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes	13c	221$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d15…ff69backed Yes	12c	216.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	12c	214.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fba…bd5abacked Yes	11c	188$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…9fa9backed Yes	11c	183.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes	9c	169.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4be…7626backed Yes	15c	160$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-55%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	12c	157.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x509f…876bbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…08e3backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	10c	152.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9188…e046backed Yes	12c	134.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ba…1eabbacked Yes	13c	130.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e3…7e36backed Yes	14c	91.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe10d…1d1fbacked Yes	14c	87.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed4c…c903backed Yes	14c	86.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event