Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb7bdb8560707e1770870ccb8124e13e9eb1b0c3a244ce05fd4c625d53b51dd0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $541,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $531,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd914…0d9abacked No	34c	30,362$10,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,342.26	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	34c	25,000$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	66c	24,011$15,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,092.82	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked No	15c	18,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	36cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	30c	16,207$4,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,808.06	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	12c	15,442$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,872.18	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	37c	14,773$5,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,484.24	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	9c	14,530$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.4	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	26c	12,618$3,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,262.12	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	63c	11,108$7,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,070.37	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	67c	11,079$7,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,639.13	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	41c	11,002$4,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,560.65	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	17c	10,211$1,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736.85	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	11c	10,019$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.81	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	34c	9,648$3,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,285.67	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	69c	9,396$6,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,938.46	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	40c	8,625$3,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,473.55	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	31c	8,366$2,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,610.26	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	9c	7,897$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.88	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	65c	7,863$5,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,785.65	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	6c	6,900$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.3	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes	66c	6,886$4,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.3	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7961…1b1cbacked Yes	59c	6,143$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,543.21	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35dc…b9efbacked Yes	63c	6,047$3,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.49	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked No	19c	6,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	34c	5,939$2,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,019.25	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	11c	5,851$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.61	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	67c	5,408$3,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,762.95	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed No	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes	67c	4,853$3,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.32	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	37c	4,504$1,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.3	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd2…f868backed Yes	60c	4,277$2,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,698.11	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa06e…f56fbacked No	9c	4,078$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes	68c	4,009$2,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.41	79	72.2%57 W · 22 L	+10.3wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No	30c	4,000$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.66	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	33c	3,900$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	32c	3,729$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.38	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	7c	3,571$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.97	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	63c	3,500$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	66c	3,353$2,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.17	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes	61c	3,114$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.07	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	7c	2,988$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.14	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	33c	2,779$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.65	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3269…1e7cbacked No	9c	2,750$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	20c	2,560$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.26	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	69c	2,549$1,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.82	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	26c	2,490$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.1	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	12c	2,454$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.17	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	25c	2,100$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.88	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No	33c	2,100$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	67c	2,096$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.52	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	42c	2,072$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.79	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes	63c	2,069$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.56	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	59c	2,025$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.15	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes	62c	2,003$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.84	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes	70c	1,985$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.41	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-8.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	33c	1,980$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.36	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Yes	68c	1,912$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.76	100	60%60 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	62c	1,861$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.93	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes	60c	1,854$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	29c	1,849$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.88	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed Yes	72c	1,825$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd782…c56cbacked Yes	60c	1,750$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.9	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No	8c	1,583$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.62	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	41c	1,577$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.54	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	36c	1,548$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.32	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.15	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	35c	1,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.54	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes	67c	1,491$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.22	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes	67c	1,486$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.24	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	68c	1,471$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.59	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd5…cba7backed Yes	67c	1,463$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.82	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	40c	1,382$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.31	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Yes	59c	1,344$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…2897backed Yes	62c	1,297$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Yes	67c	1,288$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.83	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	37c	1,201$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.47	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	9c	1,200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	77c	1,149$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.61	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	61c	1,111$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.29	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	68c	1,110$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.87	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	67c	1,067$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.53	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	39c	1,066$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.63	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed No	33c	1,040$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.87	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.28per pick	46cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	35c	1,012$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.09	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	62c	1,000$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No	33c	999.93$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.98	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes	73c	989.46$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.23	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	64c	973.65$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.8	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event