Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14dc2b28157393f32a3a9a1827024b258156eefd4be567b8f3dc97d437e98af2

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $490,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $466,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x381b…4d74backed No	49c	46,822$22,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,910.62	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	67c	30,052$20,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,920.26	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…36f9backed Yes	36c	19,800$7,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,128	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…b10ebacked Yes	52c	17,566$9,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,097.21	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes	32c	16,722$5,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	43c	16,216$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	65c	15,040$9,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,338.8	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Yes	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,650	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	69c	13,309$9,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,166.52	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No	60c	13,255$8,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,245.84	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	51c	12,783$6,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,274.28	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	47c	12,222$5,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,433.2	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…7568backed Yes	35c	11,378$3,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,929.21	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…b6d0backed Yes	35c	10,237$3,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,609.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.98	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899b…f36fbacked Yes	52c	8,727$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No	50c	8,655$4,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,306.64	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	46c	8,385$3,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,493.04	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35dc…b9efbacked Yes	54c	8,351$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	69c	7,000$4,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,194.14	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.96	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes	3c	6,688$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.96	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa688…0f82backed Yes	46c	6,473$2,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,965.83	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	48c	6,401$3,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,317.63	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes	36c	6,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	41c	5,911$2,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,423.59	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	63c	5,599$3,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,082.47	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	42c	5,092$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,155.73	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	35c	4,957$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.91	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	62c	4,911$3,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.28	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No	65c	4,693$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.5	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a19…2328backed Yes	32c	4,688$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	+204.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	32c	4,379$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395.26	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	56c	4,256$2,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,893.52	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Yes	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	33c	4,005$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.63	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	2c	3,969$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.84	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	72c	3,889$2,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.43	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	68c	3,864$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.5	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	41c	3,754$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.95	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	42c	3,546$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.53	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	60c	3,497$2,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,386.21	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…05aebacked Yes	35c	3,484$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	54c	3,278$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.65	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	42c	3,250$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.62	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	31c	3,148$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.41	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	49c	3,056$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.1	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	51c	3,004$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,531.92	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	51c	3,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	32c	2,945$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.62	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	26c	2,834$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.83	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	47c	2,799$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.55	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes	30c	2,682$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.02	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked No	66c	2,494$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.3	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	37c	2,442$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.45	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	50c	2,438$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes	27c	2,402$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.51	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	29c	2,376$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.23	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No	53c	2,250$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.78	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	47c	2,142$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed No	65c	2,104$1,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.23	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes	31c	2,097$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	147	25.9%38 W · 109 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	58c	2,035$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.65	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	49c	2,010$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.2	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	52c	2,005$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.6	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ec…b64fbacked Yes	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	52c	2,000$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.22	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.99	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	53c	1,960$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.62	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…4526backed Yes	52c	1,936$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.51	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c1…84c5backed Yes	53c	1,895$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	53c	1,844$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.06	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes	29c	1,798$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.46	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b5…74c0backed Yes	51c	1,749$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee05…c430backed Yes	43c	1,738$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	13c	1,653$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.54	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	76c	1,570$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.05	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…6d33backed Yes	49c	1,570$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.28	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf41…8226backed No	50c	1,569$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	34c	1,551$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.45	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	50c	1,543$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.27	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	49c	1,531$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa309…8427backed Yes	56c	1,519$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	34c	1,516$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.32	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	51c	1,500$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.99	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No	48c	1,500$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.98	343	57.7%198 W · 145 L	+26.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	44c	1,459$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	60c	1,419$856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.1	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	49c	1,258$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.44	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	35c	1,249$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	53c	1,237$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	50c	1,228$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	1,200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e88…24d1backed Yes	47c	1,195$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	48c	1,167$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.12	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	48c	1,121$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.8	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event