Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a27af7d9fc19ed7ce2cda48da07584ed1411c3dc0625eeb0f883fc61cfba11

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $436,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $469,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,850 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfea3…d227backed No	36c	36,217$13,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,038.09	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	63c	32,403$20,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,027.05	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	39c	25,083$9,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,732.26	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	35c	23,998$8,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,489.35	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	40c	19,988$7,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,916.4	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	64c	18,838$12,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,781.57	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	59c	17,288$10,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,091.52	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes	64c	15,654$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,653.65	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ee…8c9cbacked Yes	63c	13,808$8,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,127.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No	37c	13,421$4,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,951.01	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	33c	12,989$4,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,291.18	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	65c	10,803$7,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,781.05	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	39c	10,750$4,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,142.49	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…36f9backed Yes	66c	10,500$6,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,570.01	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	38c	8,986$3,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,380.61	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes	61c	8,131$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.34	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes	62c	8,071$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,071.28	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	36c	8,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes	61c	7,899$4,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,114.47	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35dc…b9efbacked Yes	64c	7,839$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,839.09	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	62c	6,000$3,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,280	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	62c	6,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	39c	5,652$2,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,204.46	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	40c	5,435$2,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,165.29	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	41c	5,318$2,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,172.08	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe20…67debacked Yes	67c	5,020$3,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.05	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	39c	4,500$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.98	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	40c	4,174$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.92	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed Yes	66c	4,001$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360.22	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	59c	3,835$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.73	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	58c	3,743$2,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.01	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No	36c	3,694$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.95	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	59c	3,405$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.16	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	18c	3,268$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.27	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	36c	3,069$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.96	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	37c	3,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	37c	2,875$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.87	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes	63c	2,806$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.92	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	38c	2,799$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.93	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	40c	2,790$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.99	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	58c	2,785$1,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.3	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fa…acecbacked Yes	61c	2,754$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+23%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	30c	2,663$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.65	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…0804backed Yes	64c	2,466$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.3	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…69b7backed Yes	61c	2,434$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.94	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	62c	2,276$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.24	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	35c	2,230$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.32	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	36c	2,216$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.61	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9e…b529backed Yes	62c	2,126$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.02	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	37c	2,112$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.29	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	40c	2,100$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.66	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes	63c	2,100$1,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0835…0e07backed No	34c	2,093$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe15…1794backed Yes	67c	2,090$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.55	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	38c	2,074$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.27	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	67c	2,074$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.19	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201d…41aabacked Yes	61c	2,029$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.46	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	61c	2,000$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.99	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No	33c	2,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.97	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No	35c	1,810$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.45	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	39c	1,780$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes	64c	1,704$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	60c	1,700$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.27	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	57c	1,627$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.03	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes	62c	1,611$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.78	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	66c	1,596$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.64	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	44c	1,593$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	55c	1,560$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.6	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	38c	1,500$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	58c	1,458$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.8	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	59c	1,352$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.39	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes	65c	1,340$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.32	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-7.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	35c	1,201$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.43	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf809…b391backed Yes	61c	1,175$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.1	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	42c	1,173$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.55	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0be6…330fbacked Yes	56c	1,125$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+354.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	60c	1,035$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.01	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	64c	1,031$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.52	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	144	27.8%40 W · 104 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	38c	1,000$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	65c	999.99$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No	37c	999.97$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.99	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	37c	999.97$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.75	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	35c	971.02$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.43	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	57c	943$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.73	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	59c	939.55$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.27	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No	31c	938.55$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.9	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed No	34c	883$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.22	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	45c	878.39$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.99	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	61c	857.98$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.53	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	60c	840$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8a1…06e5backed Yes	60c	830.57$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.57	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…26adbacked Yes	67c	821.2$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.2	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	59c	820.84$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.85	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes	61c	819.67$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.67	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event