TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5fe7…44a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$576.25
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.57
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$1,217.49
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$559.69
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,034Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.9%+$1,096.13
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.3%+$220.86
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.7%+$202.49
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+162.2%+$486.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$113.94
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45%+$179.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$51.32
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$122.3
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Olympique Marseille vs. Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.8%+$177.63
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$645.28
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$370.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$3,071.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$385.71
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+338.6%+$338.63
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Slovenia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will England vs. Serbia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$204.71
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$333
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$102.26
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$265.71
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$124.28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$354.86
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.