Commodities · resolved market
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf220061c0e83defd413070f97fb55660485ca8540c43be13d9e71082ca2cad57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,495,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,057,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,495,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed No | 0c | 11,797,581$34,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,539.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…2ee7backed No | 0c | 1,250,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed No | 1c | 763,202$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…440abacked No | 0c | 549,349$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…d9bebacked No | 1c | 548,081$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…d09ebacked No | 1c | 531,286$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed No | 0c | 500,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…4df2backed No | 0c | 427,200$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed No | 0c | 400,001$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…81e8backed No | 0c | 331,167$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…0b50backed No | 0c | 275,557$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed No | 0c | 250,211$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…416fbacked No | 0c | 215,920$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…cf2bbacked No | 0c | 203,630$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6a25backed No | 0c | 201,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed No | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…094fbacked No | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…246cbacked No | 0c | 198,137$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…dee0backed No | 0c | 197,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…650dbacked No | 0c | 189,817$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0d…d518backed No | 0c | 176,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked No | 0c | 176,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…f665backed No | 0c | 164,767$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…fed6backed No | 0c | 154,000$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked No | 0c | 147,611$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…09c7backed No | 0c | 135,622$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked No | 0c | 134,923$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…763ebacked No | 2c | 121,411$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed No | 0c | 119,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked No | 0c | 113,500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…51e3backed No | 0c | 109,473$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 2c | 103,298$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…306dbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…e684backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 0c | 77,777$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…f696backed No | 0c | 75,807$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bd…2bd4backed No | 0c | 74,667$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…532abacked No | 0c | 68,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked No | 0c | 65,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…07c1backed No | 0c | 63,933$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…7e60backed No | 1c | 62,974$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…6ed9backed No | 0c | 60,137$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…0158backed No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…2edbbacked No | 0c | 59,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked No | 0c | 57,435$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…60bcbacked No | 0c | 54,356$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…b61ebacked No | 1c | 53,288$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed No | 3c | 53,107$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0c…98b2backed No | 0c | 51,667$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…5e02backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…e334backed No | 0c | 46,333$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…4d3abacked No | 0c | 44,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…cf6cbacked No | 0c | 42,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed No | 0c | 41,543$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…af4ebacked No | 0c | 41,400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…bb0fbacked No | 1c | 38,327$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed No | 0c | 37,213$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 0c | 35,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…5732backed No | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…611bbacked No | 3c | 33,903$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…7ccabacked No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked No | 0c | 33,135$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…9edabacked No | 0c | 32,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked No | 0c | 30,919$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…e58fbacked No | 0c | 28,435$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…dce3backed No | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…991ebacked No | 0c | 26,667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf8…2a0fbacked No | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ff…d779backed No | 1c | 25,615$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked No | 1c | 25,238$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f78…2d21backed No | 1c | 25,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 21,764$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed No | 0c | 21,726$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -92.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…a61ebacked No | 0c | 21,617$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b6…7e48backed No | 0c | 20,333$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…0a2cbacked No | 0c | 20,225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…aa9cbacked No | 0c | 20,165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 0c | 20,156$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed No | 1c | 20,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…044ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…e32abacked No | 0c | 19,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…94f6backed No | 1c | 18,978$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked No | 0c | 18,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…93e8backed No | 0c | 17,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e643backed No | 0c | 16,833$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…93e6backed No | 0c | 16,760$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed No | 2c | 16,554$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…1bf4backed No | 0c | 16,055$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…985dbacked No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 57c | 14,365$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…4c53backed No | 0c | 13,933$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…d601backed No | 0c | 13,875$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0222…ba20backed No | 0c | 13,875$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…77f5backed No | 0c | 13,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.