TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$719,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 722 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No20c105,350$21,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,026.641136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No20c58,216$11,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,572.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No20c50,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,999.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+113%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes68c43,822$29,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,974.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes80c36,645$29,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,316250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+257.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes80c35,387$28,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,247.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No26c28,749$7,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,138.2321560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes78c27,924$21,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,856.293828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d67…7a40backed Yes79c25,450$20,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c22,900$6,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,909.251,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c21,757$9,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,834.581,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No22c17,001$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,310.493050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c16,659$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,223.674551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No22c12,790$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,975.952920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes79c10,662$8,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,447.72666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No22c10,428$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,129.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No27c10,028$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,293.652832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No20c10,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes58c9,999$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.482433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No21c9,867$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,794.673265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc55e…77d2backed Yes79c9,761$7,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,711.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No22c9,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,020333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed No20c9,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No21c8,951$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,071.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe219…8cc8backed Yes79c8,847$7,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,029.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Yes63c8,740$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No33c8,729$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.0810752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No20c8,500$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,812.964932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes79c8,403$6,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes79c7,000$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,53014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes80c6,804$5,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…0434backed Yes78c6,387$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes79c5,096$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Yes80c5,092$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Yes79c5,063$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No22c5,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9003756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No21c4,749$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.51450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29a…21e7backed Yes80c4,158$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No43c3,996$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes80c3,845$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…1c2cbacked Yes78c3,736$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No20c3,709$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.881030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No21c3,600$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.965354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No21c3,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7651850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes79c3,086$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.7713050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes74c3,037$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.89366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes64c2,999$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.381154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes73c2,961$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.349140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd532…f70dbacked Yes79c2,813$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No21c2,790$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No21c2,654$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.436842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes79c2,532$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Yes60c2,505$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Yes80c2,378$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No21c2,322$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c2,294$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.2635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Yes45c2,216$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c2,049$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61910521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c1,905$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.764030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes79c1,900$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes79c1,696$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3401250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Yes79c1,506$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d46…e060backed Yes80c1,490$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No21c1,485$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No21c1,475$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6384…3c83backed Yes78c1,467$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.56366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f7…e1d8backed Yes78c1,467$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes70c1,420$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.431040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes58c1,402$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes57c1,401$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.561421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc6…1a7dbacked Yes80c1,391$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf170…5009backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad81…1f88backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c1,264$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes64c1,217$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes70c1,209$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes79c1,165$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes80c1,152$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.641963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes45c1,120$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d71…3b2cbacked Yes79c1,101$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes79c1,093$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c1,085$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes78c1,085$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.284266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Yes71c1,034$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.054348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No22c1,000$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7856835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No32c999.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8729…e624backed Yes56c983.38$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes79c941.72$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.96520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff35…46fcbacked Yes80c875$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes62c850$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes79c849.61$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.