TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa815…a3c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
367
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: F1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 58 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST13253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+41.6%+$881.97
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+34.2%+$1,745.85
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+62.7%+$751.5
Open de Moselle: Aleksandar Vukic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,841Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$460.91
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$570
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100.3%+$500.69
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$476.78
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.6%+$887.56
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$425
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$130
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.9%+$251.95
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$897.3
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+59.4%+$447.31
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.94
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,384Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$616.3
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$611.17
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.96
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$304.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$206.12
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$410.58
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$419.3
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$436.66
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,301.19
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,499.04
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25.3%+$1,010
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$735
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3,150
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$345
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$675
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.76
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30.38
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$486.38
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$9,429.83
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$920
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,883Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$995.31
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$490
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$4,340
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$575
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,776.67
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,000
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$300.01
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,447.69
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,150
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$650
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,600
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST3262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$420
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$594
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,233Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+79.4%+$2,567
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$455
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,985Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$559.99
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$345
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$360
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,445Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$2,315.72
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,580
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$2,639
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$420
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$424.41
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,178.46
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$538
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$951.85
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.2
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.97
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,448
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$377.99
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$631.66
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,591.74
Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$205.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,163.29
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.5%+$1,515.59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$575.24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$48.5
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$602.95
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+382%+$416.01
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$647.22
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$863.83
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$548.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+171.8%+$632.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$1,401.76
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$263.07
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$325.91
F1 Canadian Grand Prix: Red Flag? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.58
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$414.69
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$312
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$304.38
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,626.85
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,790Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$579.67
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+64%+$1,092.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+55%+$753.24
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.34
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$857.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,839.61
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$133.59
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$123.38
Will PSV beat Liverpool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$301.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.58
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$1,528.34
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$294.94
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,805.26
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$1,211.11
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,198
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.8
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$2,004.94
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$7,499.64
Will NDP win 9 or less seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$562.02
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,136.8
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29,316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$8,360.45
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$425.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17,958Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.3%+$7,421.65
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.6%+$1,054.91
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$183.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$1,420
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,970Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$2,030
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$500
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$46,579.91
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,419.03
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,519.86
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,365Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26%+$1,135
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,441.08
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,090.94
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+48.1%+$1,672.04
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,669.05
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$4,141.56
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030.27
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 SAG Award for "Emilia Pérez"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+33.5%+$853.92
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$169.58
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+53.9%+$537.35
Will 'The Brutalist' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,911.48
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+35.5%+$279.59
Will Adrien Brody win the Golden Globe for Best Actor - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+49.9%+$92.43
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$693
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$153.25
Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+121.8%+$7,256.25
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,986.9
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.8
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$756.76
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+119.4%+$1,091.47
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$787.56
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,417.96
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$627.36
Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$277.33
Will "El Mal" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+36.5%+$261.03
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$97.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.58
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+135.7%+$287.86
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,300
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,865Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$2,634.66
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.49
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,327.34
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$54.59
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$689.36
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+28.9%+$61.07
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$6,114.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+31.9%+$362.88
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$354.15
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$111.95
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,516.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,558.52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,866.43
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,035
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.52
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$688.56
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,383.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$700
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$258.5
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$133
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$185.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$856.92
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$267.92
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.3%+$355.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: France vs Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$680
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germanybacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$540
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$560
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$420
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,437.42
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,384.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,899Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+25.6%+$741.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.