Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e7926f1bd65e208109f51d80d193da22e1eedf4a012d83d47b4b8751c06e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 22c | 94,095$20,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 90,000$70,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…df2dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,869$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked No | 80c | 4,265$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 3,707$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 24c | 3,401$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 1c | 3,049$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 2,621$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 78c | 1,925$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 1,432$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 22c | 1,098$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 78c | 776.98$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 638.58$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 599.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 413.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed No | 80c | 375.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 17c | 357.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 291.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 80c | 248.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 79c | 244.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 78c | 222.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…bb4ebacked Yes | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 128.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 80c | 102.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 80c | 79.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 80c | 77.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 79c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 79c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will England win on 2025-09-09?Yes won
- Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.