Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d19f7929fe04621486f405060a465497390e289bb4ed501f33797429fd6734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 30c | 12,437$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 6,627$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.13 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 8c | 2,635$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 2,501$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.28 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 2,406$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.68 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 71c | 1,686$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 32c | 1,141$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 1,040$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 951.29$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 26c | 693.58$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 331$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 32c | 314.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 69c | 221$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 210.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…bb4ebacked Yes | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 72c | 149$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 73c | 127.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 73c | 127.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 50c | 91.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 31c | 80.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 67.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4872…da4fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 73c | 54.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…5fc0backed No | 74c | 52.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…73dcbacked No | 71c | 46.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?this page
- Will England win on 2025-09-09?Yes won
- Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.