TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2c6…5fc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.49
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.22
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.98
Will Serbia vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.71
Will Luxembourg vs. Slovakia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.35
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$32.4
Will Wales win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.94
Will Spain beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$130.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$87.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.73
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$341
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+119.9%+$480.3
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+100%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.13
Steelers vs. Jets: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$103.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Women's Group B - Japan vs. Italybacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Women's Group A - Czechia vs. Finlandbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+74.6%+$18.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$40.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.