MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x216c8c9c62ca572630de7333a21641b297ec880703b08e441e7d2fa183f4341a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Cubs | 71c | 46,509$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 59c | 16,084$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 51c | 14,790$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.79 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cubs | 71c | 13,897$9,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,866.25 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 29c | 10,493$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Nationals | 49c | 8,784$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.22 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 30c | 7,758$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Nationals | 43c | 6,785$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 30c | 6,381$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.85 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 31c | 5,818$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.58 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Nationals | 29c | 5,020$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 39c | 4,790$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 65c | 4,684$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.27 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 63c | 3,967$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Cubs | 70c | 2,987$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.9 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nationals | 30c | 2,812$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.64 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 31c | 2,805$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 33c | 2,081$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.45 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 29c | 2,021$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,708$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.7 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Nationals | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.67 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,411$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.83 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 32c | 1,243$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 52c | 1,234$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cubs | 53c | 1,072$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.72 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Nationals | 78c | 927.31$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Nationals | 79c | 849.89$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 50c | 818.73$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 70c | 779.15$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.39 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Nationals | 80c | 670.93$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 70c | 668$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Cubs | 39c | 555.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 40c | 550$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 28c | 539.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 49c | 459.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 40c | 459.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 30c | 426.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 38c | 413.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Cubs | 57c | 412.28$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 29c | 400.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cubs | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 52c | 383.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 59c | 347.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Nationals | 49c | 343.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cubs | 71c | 338.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 30c | 321.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Nationals | 34c | 290.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 46c | 286.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 70c | 285.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cubs | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 71c | 281$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 70c | 271$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 70c | 269$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 30c | 266$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Cubs | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Nationals | 30c | 231.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cubs | 46c | 216.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 51c | 203.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Cubs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Nationals | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 69c | 190.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 29c | 169.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cubs | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cubs | 64c | 157.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Cubs | 64c | 156.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Cubs | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Nationals | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…4d9ebacked Cubs | 49c | 148.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nationals | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cubs | 67c | 131$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nationals | 36c | 127.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Nationals | 28c | 127.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Nationals | 52c | 124.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Nationals | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Cubs | 41c | 109.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nationals | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Cubs | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Nationals | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Nationals | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 52c | 72.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Cubs | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cubs | 47c | 66.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Nationals | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Nationals | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Cubsthis page
- Nationals vs. Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.