Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3c964da374af9075f2171cb1f48fdf316e1d1cacac5166a5ba3d03d8a6d027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 66c | 28,082$18,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 35c | 15,610$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 34c | 12,000$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 8,992$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.42 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 8,395$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 65c | 7,712$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 6,398$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.36 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 6,025$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 66c | 5,010$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 67c | 4,697$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.89 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 65c | 3,095$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.58 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 2,971$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,503$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 1,988$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.32 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 20c | 1,739$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 66c | 1,700$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 34c | 1,623$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.24 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 62c | 1,527$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 36c | 1,527$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…76f2backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 34c | 1,435$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 65c | 886.15$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 64c | 782.41$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 34c | 599.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 34c | 550$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 36c | 506.25$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 36c | 499.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 33c | 424$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 405$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Yes | 64c | 360$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 65c | 340.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 66c | 315.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…2d7ebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 65c | 306.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 63c | 295.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 65c | 286.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 37c | 279.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 65c | 254.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 65c | 250.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 35c | 249.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 62c | 234.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…fbdfbacked Yes | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 66c | 178.79$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 64c | 159.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…8d45backed Yes | 64c | 159.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 64c | 156.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…3ab9backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…5fc0backed No | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…056cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 38c | 152.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 65c | 151.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…972fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…e043backed Yes | 64c | 147.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 39c | 135.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 65c | 129.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 11c | 117.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…5a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 110.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…faa8backed Yes | 65c | 103.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 65c | 99.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1b…66d5backed Yes | 64c | 98.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…21f5backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…e46bbacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 64c | 83.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Yes | 61c | 81.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?this page
- Will Türkiye vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.