NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800439094b33b59a2906cc90043818d4e35d1df87ae4995ac5f7d7b00a8494b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chiefs, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,820,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,158,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,820,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Chargers | 45c | 345,475$156,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,983.07 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Chargers | 39c | 256,197$99,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,280.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chargers | 51c | 213,101$108,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,966.47 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Chiefs | 57c | 194,880$111,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,971.42 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Chiefs | 58c | 155,070$90,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,315.76 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Chiefs | 53c | 117,010$61,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,986.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chiefs | 54c | 99,550$53,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,801.68 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Chiefs | 61c | 67,517$40,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,976.92 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Chiefs | 43c | 63,253$26,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,987.16 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Chiefs | 56c | 60,040$33,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,674.02 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Chiefs | 53c | 59,472$31,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,338.55 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Chiefs | 30c | 55,896$16,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,532.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Chargers | 39c | 50,092$19,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,356.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Chargers | 67c | 47,144$31,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,498.83 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chiefs | 32c | 33,534$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,695.26 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Chargers | 67c | 32,000$21,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Chargers | 64c | 28,286$18,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,158.12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Chiefs | 50c | 25,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Chiefs | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Chiefs | 34c | 21,424$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,284.18 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers | 79c | 21,036$16,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.53 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Chiefs | 33c | 17,296$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.31 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Chargers | 39c | 17,235$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.45 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Chiefs | 31c | 17,106$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Chiefs | 58c | 16,895$9,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,798.98 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Chargers | 56c | 16,395$9,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,278.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chargers | 61c | 16,071$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.51 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Chargers | 77c | 15,060$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Chargers | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Chiefs | 58c | 14,394$8,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,303.98 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Chiefs | 22c | 13,572$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.03 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Chiefs | 60c | 12,427$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,455.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Chargers | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Chargers | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Chargers | 66c | 11,366$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.62 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 74c | 10,994$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.24 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Chiefs | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Chargers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.97 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chiefs | 34c | 8,775$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.07 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Chiefs | 55c | 8,760$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Chargers | 40c | 7,493$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Chiefs | 61c | 7,377$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Chiefs | 46c | 7,040$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Chiefs | 61c | 6,714$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chiefs | 31c | 6,678$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.46 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chiefs | 44c | 6,368$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiefs | 31c | 6,366$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chargers | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Chiefs | 49c | 5,845$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Chiefs | 61c | 5,792$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers | 39c | 5,586$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.5 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Chiefs | 61c | 5,167$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.69 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Chiefs | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Chargers | 38c | 5,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 57c | 3,922$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.83 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Chiefs | 40c | 3,765$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.86 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers | 40c | 3,641$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.47 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Chargers | 62c | 3,616$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…b3debacked Chiefs | 61c | 3,563$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Chiefs | 62c | 3,548$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chiefs | 26c | 3,280$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.7 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Chiefs | 61c | 3,222$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Chargers | 62c | 3,174$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.32 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chiefs | 34c | 3,016$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.88 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Chargers | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…da5dbacked Chiefs | 39c | 2,993$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chargers | 49c | 2,778$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.01 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chargers | 52c | 2,763$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.1 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chiefs | 59c | 2,763$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Chiefs | 33c | 2,624$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chargers | 40c | 2,619$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.72 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Chargers | 49c | 2,506$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.56 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Chiefs | 61c | 2,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Chargers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Chargers | 40c | 2,463$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.77 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Chargers | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Chiefs | 43c | 2,320$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Chargers | 59c | 2,301$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Chiefs | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Chargers | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers | 71c | 2,057$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.44 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Chiefs | 62c | 2,054$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.55 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Chiefs | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Chiefs | 52c | 1,973$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.06 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Chargers | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Chiefs | 35c | 1,830$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.44 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…12a1backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,719$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,689$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.36 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Chiefs | 30c | 1,587$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Chargers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Chargers | 66c | 1,500$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Chiefs | 27c | 1,495$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 39c | 1,461$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.12 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Chargers | 77c | 1,430$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Chiefs | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Chiefs | 28c | 1,414$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Chargers | 67c | 1,412$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Chargers | 64c | 1,412$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…4176backed Chiefs | 2c | 1,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Chargersthis page
- Chiefs vs. Chargers: O/U 45.5Over won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.