TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe732…7465

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST6643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,670.06
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.45
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MIBR (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gentle Matesbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$536.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs ENCEbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$100
Counter-Strike: M80 vs ENCEbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.4%+$348.02
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,551.98
CS: The MongolZ vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.75
CS: Astralis vs Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.86
CS: FURIA vs paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.39
CS: 3DMAX vs Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$19.63
CS: G2 vs GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.54
CS: Astralis vs paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$331.98
CS: 3DMAX vs GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$248.64
CS: Virtus.pro vs Lynn Visionbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$211.75
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+159%+$340.14
FISSURE Playground 2: FURIA vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.95
Thunderpick WC: TNL vs. Imperialbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$346
Thunderpick WC: SAW vs. BIGbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.99
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,020.55
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will PSG beat Bayern Munich in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+117.9%+$565.48
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.95
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.05
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Man City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.78
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.18
Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,674
Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$1,099.17
Will Flamengo beat LAFC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$485.92
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$608.29
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Esperance Sportive beat LAFC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.28
Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+213.8%+$415.02
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.04
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+51%+$1,918.54
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$394.58
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,652.63
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.01
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.52
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Godinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$108.78
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$79.8
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+66%+$173.2
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.45
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.22
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.06
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$113.03
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyanbacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+150%+$297.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.37
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+63.3%+$1,111.03
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$44.4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$567
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+405.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+405.7%+$208.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$31.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada beat Curacao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.