Champions League · resolved market
Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f40f215e23a430a898cc924f5ecb325cccd82ca203f67885ccd384d4ef22a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 31c | 18,975$5,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,853.89 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 65c | 9,600$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.9 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 4,734$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.05 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 2,556$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,332$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.7 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 65c | 1,061$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.38 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 733.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 606.45$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 70c | 599.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 70c | 585.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…d13bbacked Yes | 37c | 584.14$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked No | 69c | 559.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 69c | 488.93$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 40c | 435.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 32c | 393.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked No | 69c | 364.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 28c | 351.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 30c | 329.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…59a5backed Yes | 31c | 322.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 69c | 256$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 66c | 245$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 63c | 220.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 29c | 199.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 39c | 197$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 184$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 30c | 140.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…4ca1backed Yes | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 68c | 131$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 67c | 122.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed No | 72c | 118.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdc…16d9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 42c | 84.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked No | 68c | 75.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…1adbbacked Yes | 49c | 72.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 54c | 70.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…ac02backed Yes | 34c | 59.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 46.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 71c | 46.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…3333backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 65c | 43.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…168cbacked Yes | 36c | 35.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…d535backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…ceb0backed Yes | 36c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes | 39c | 27.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…8f04backed No | 66c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…87eebacked No | 68c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?this page
- Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.