Champions League · resolved market
Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2f659b1c91e4fdacab277a8b318aeea9200ab97bb39ece6498f8e5fd4701c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Yes | 27c | 14,522$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.81 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked No | 76c | 2,615$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.19 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 672.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…d117backed No | 74c | 644$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 68c | 394.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 61c | 377.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 41c | 372.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 26c | 270.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 26c | 201.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 74c | 161.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 33c | 121.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…474abacked Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 103.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 75c | 86.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 72cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +403.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf013…ddf7backed Yes | 58c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.