TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbaa…7688

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$243.44
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$162.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$234.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$46.61
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+70.3%+$192.82
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+316.7%+$61.85
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$202.22
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$503.23
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.8
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$204.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$167.04
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$74.94
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$831.45
Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$251.94
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$827.27
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.75
Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$238.12
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$221.05
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Will Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Albania beat Serbia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$296.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$226.66
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$105.22
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+46%+$344.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$88.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.