Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183437908cc43b560a45d03a0de9e6b61c4c66ede49debc6fff44dbe8055b65d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 16,553$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…4753backed No | 1c | 13,578$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 1c | 13,254$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…81d6backed No | 0c | 10,059$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked No | 3c | 9,607$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…f400backed No | 4c | 9,538$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed No | 3c | 9,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 4c | 5,931$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked No | 12c | 5,725$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 3c | 5,391$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…367fbacked No | 7c | 5,108$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…6a7dbacked No | 6c | 4,705$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,453$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 8c | 4,311$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 2c | 4,200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…c818backed No | 1c | 3,714$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…9809backed No | 1c | 3,375$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…51e4backed No | 2c | 3,227$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…6488backed No | 0c | 3,061$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…e686backed No | 2c | 3,040$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked No | 6c | 3,004$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 2,829$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…5d00backed No | 2c | 2,758$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 1c | 2,625$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed No | 2c | 2,465$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…2f60backed No | 5c | 2,402$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…4437backed No | 2c | 2,166$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed No | 5c | 2,084$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…7be7backed No | 1c | 2,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked No | 5c | 1,850$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…5b21backed No | 2c | 1,821$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…a973backed No | 3c | 1,818$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…1d35backed No | 1c | 1,743$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…798bbacked No | 3c | 1,726$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…e4f5backed No | 2c | 1,697$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed No | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed No | 9c | 1,587$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 2c | 1,566$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed No | 3c | 1,520$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…d63cbacked No | 7c | 1,494$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 1c | 1,490$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…a0febacked No | 7c | 1,427$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 9c | 1,343$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…3bbabacked No | 2c | 1,308$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed No | 2c | 1,296$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944d…049abacked No | 3c | 1,281$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 7c | 1,250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd646…f37ebacked No | 5c | 1,225$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5fa4backed No | 3c | 1,217$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42b…8392backed No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 5c | 1,199$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…4443backed No | 7c | 1,175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…79e6backed No | 2c | 1,103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…da32backed No | 5c | 1,080$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…c786backed No | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…2dccbacked No | 5c | 1,025$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked No | 5c | 1,002$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…646ebacked No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…4fa6backed No | 1c | 975.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…f3a5backed No | 2c | 974.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…e26fbacked No | 2c | 970.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed No | 2c | 956.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 2c | 951.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed No | 9c | 946.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6b04backed No | 3c | 923.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2185backed No | 13c | 916.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…43a4backed No | 6c | 898.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d3…38ffbacked No | 5c | 821.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…704ebacked No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…6dd3backed No | 9c | 793.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…d78ebacked No | 5c | 787.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…f357backed No | 2c | 772.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…4c00backed No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed No | 3c | 727.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…79dcbacked No | 7c | 715.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…197dbacked No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed No | 9c | 698.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…0de1backed No | 2c | 670.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…34e8backed No | 3c | 657.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…0a67backed No | 2c | 639.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked No | 5c | 616.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…3372backed No | 5c | 555.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed No | 5c | 555.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb0…8d5abacked No | 5c | 517.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4070…5a02backed No | 3c | 502.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked No | 8c | 501.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…646abacked No | 5c | 499.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…8261backed No | 7c | 477.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…c13cbacked No | 2c | 470$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked No | 5c | 460.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…ec43backed No | 2c | 457.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…5b1cbacked No | 3c | 435.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.