TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x031b…babc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST7536%27 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+27.5%+$88.06
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$202.49
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+276.9%+$237.94
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$244.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.5%+$36.14
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.5%+$213.22
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42%+$937.29
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+46.4%+$127.49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$136.88
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+70.6%+$178.02
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$56.03
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.28
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.8%+$43.64
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+36.8%+$172.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30%+$33.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$189.81
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$92.25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$178.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.8%+$42
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+221.8%+$332.67
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$54.82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+604.2%+$112.4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$14.54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.65
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-89.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$19.71
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.84
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.21
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.32
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.57
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.82
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.07
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.17
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-76.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.4%+$1,027.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$223.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.78
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.77
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Solana dip to $160 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Solana dip to $170 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.73
Will Solana dip to $150 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.73
Will Solana dip to $180 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$843.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$31.79
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+245.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+545.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+545.7%+$118.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$58.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.