TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights26c150,000$38,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,749.9942552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah68c113,899$77,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,361.438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Golden Knights52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,799.9125449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Utah48c24,224$11,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,596.3522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights51c10,568$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415.811,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah48c10,084$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.2157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Golden Knights51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9619451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah49c7,715$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.5589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Golden Knights52c5,135$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah48c4,883$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.161,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah48c4,607$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Utah48c4,352$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.35446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Utah48c4,089$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah49c3,735$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.271,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights52c2,998$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.2115954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights17c2,923$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Utah47c2,820$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.64546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights16c2,497$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.211,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed Utah48c2,333$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.331735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights34c2,326$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights3c2,255$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.931,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12268449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f7…dc13backed Golden Knights53c2,140$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…a98bbacked Golden Knights53c2,140$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Golden Knights51c2,130$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.354652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067a…404cbacked Utah47c2,130$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights49c2,000$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.622,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Golden Knights53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06023047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Golden Knights40c1,982$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.8692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fac…4754backed Golden Knights53c1,973$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb64…e736backed Golden Knights53c1,970$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c61…1451backed Utah48c1,859$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah47c1,598$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.141,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5977…a4bebacked Utah47c1,440$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Utah48c1,426$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.7893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Utah50c1,334$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.691752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Golden Knights27c1,328$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5713241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aef…3b6dbacked Golden Knights52c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah47c1,264$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Golden Knights6c1,223$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.371625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c82…fb95backed Utah48c1,170$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah47c1,150$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.5663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights52c1,139$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Golden Knights53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…5e10backed Utah48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49d…7011backed Utah48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights52c1,038$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4143743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights52c1,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.571,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Golden Knights7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a63…de95backed Utah48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Golden Knights52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Utah47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Golden Knights53c959$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.271,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Utah48c819.51$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ae…41dbbacked Utah48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08c…19d2backed Utah48c770$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah80c765.2$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fc…0f98backed Golden Knights53c759.98$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed Golden Knights53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…c388backed Golden Knights53c740$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah47c724.99$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.021,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663c…1fe9backed Utah48c720$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e3…c370backed Golden Knights28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Utah72c711.81$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.815448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Utah47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3717152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a962backed Golden Knights53c680$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b14…f343backed Golden Knights53c680$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a1…6b32backed Utah48c670$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x381e…3f00backed Utah48c640$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.82560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dd4…2c2fbacked Golden Knights53c630$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Utah48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3258956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15c9…8b90backed Utah46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c6a…5a53backed Utah46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3242356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…ce16backed Golden Knights54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x372d…8df3backed Golden Knights54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b44…ba72backed Utah46c590$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb86e…eb89backed Golden Knights54c590$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.61850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ed…4a17backed Golden Knights54c590$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac12…fe11backed Utah46c590$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9104…6d47backed Utah46c590$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e27…db4fbacked Golden Knights54c590$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe52f…a8e9backed Golden Knights54c590$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…cdb6backed Utah46c590$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.61225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe409…4999backed Utah46c580$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a6…a197backed Golden Knights54c580$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32fe…21edbacked Utah46c580$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3591…9946backed Utah46c580$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.21250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9132…2bedbacked Utah46c580$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x144f…c4f7backed Golden Knights54c580$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccad…d34ebacked Golden Knights54c580$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d402backed Golden Knights54c580$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb738…cb3cbacked Golden Knights54c580$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.