TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof LNG Esports, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3ac…88c9backed LGD Gaming37c21,631$8,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,627.313551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed LGD Gaming38c11,315$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,029.4421137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed LNG Esports5c10,700$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54129927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked LNG Esports52c10,682$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.9820354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed LNG Esports30c9,699$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.8221448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed LGD Gaming36c9,169$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,891.8314839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed LNG Esports62c9,154$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,690.3126246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked LNG Esports38c8,967$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.8213345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed LNG Esports8c8,422$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.112844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked LGD Gaming63c7,282$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.894332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed LGD Gaming47c6,067$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LNG Esports36c5,435$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.412,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked LGD Gaming77c4,909$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.0425751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed LGD Gaming42c4,783$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.0818945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked LNG Esports62c4,236$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.5611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed LNG Esports52c4,146$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.2131644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed LNG Esports80c4,146$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.0641644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LNG Esports45c3,809$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.241,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked LGD Gaming9c3,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports52c2,714$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.233,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed LGD Gaming38c2,636$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63643542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed LNG Esports71c2,500$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.0119839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LGD Gaming38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.761,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed LNG Esports66c2,439$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6006656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LNG Esports28c2,389$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.5367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed LNG Esports62c2,300$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42624147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed LNG Esports50c2,167$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.5370443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed LNG Esports45c2,094$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.3210761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfabf…2814backed LGD Gaming65c1,995$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.875949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked LNG Esports70c1,754$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.0696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed LNG Esports51c1,707$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9716660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LNG Esports45c1,682$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed LNG Esports15c1,359$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed LGD Gaming31c1,354$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.6354944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LNG Esports28c1,190$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports28c1,128$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.562,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed LNG Esports14c1,100$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321644%95 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked LGD Gaming38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68252151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked LGD Gaming35c1,063$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2511037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LNG Esports30c1,036$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed LNG Esports63c1,004$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1821754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked LNG Esports61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61018053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LNG Esports3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed LNG Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101276.3%8 W · 119 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked LGD Gaming20c983.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9150242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed LNG Esports48c975.86$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5950643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e5…b0d3backed LNG Esports3c958.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.761921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked LGD Gaming39c888$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6813040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LGD Gaming73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.921,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LNG Esports73c819.96$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf44b…f278backed LNG Esports51c815.7$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed LNG Esports63c812.2$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed LGD Gaming38c799.97$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.9850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LNG Esports59c793$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.521,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked LGD Gaming53c755.78$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7829833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed LGD Gaming33c753.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9518914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed LGD Gaming29c712.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…88a9backed LGD Gaming35c699.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef94…8e53backed LNG Esports63c699.96$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed LNG Esports63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked LNG Esports65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed LNG Esports28c540$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked LNG Esports34c529.66$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1750956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed LGD Gaming20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd711…bbccbacked LNG Esports38c500$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.022958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed LNG Esports62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0340347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LNG Esports62c499.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.991,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed LNG Esports61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba2e…f106backed LNG Esports49c487.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…2c0ebacked LNG Esports15c483.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.725927.1%16 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed LGD Gaming33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5543151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed LNG Esports78c453.55$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.776464.1%41 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked LNG Esports67c448.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked LNG Esports60c425.34$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9328165.5%184 W · 97 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed LGD Gaming6c416$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0423915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed LGD Gaming33c415.72$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5343539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked LNG Esports27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed LGD Gaming39c400$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9635850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed LNG Esports78c399.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9926865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed LGD Gaming30c399.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.997532%24 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked LNG Esports27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked LNG Esports27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed LGD Gaming51c366.74$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe497…5403backed LGD Gaming72c351$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.646561.5%40 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed LGD Gaming80c333$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.620764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed LGD Gaming31c326.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4424436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8b…e4d4backed LGD Gaming73c299.39$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.842240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LNG Esports68c292.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed LGD Gaming19c275$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.526346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa211…754bbacked LGD Gaming37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed LNG Esports68c258.74$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9430155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed LGD Gaming18c255$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8218744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LNG Esports25c250.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed LNG Esports35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5686758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked LNG Esports17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LNG Esports25c234.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.552,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked LNG Esports61c232$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked LGD Gaming30c226.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.338335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked LGD Gaming25c220$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.68438.1%32 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked LNG Esports65c215.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14070162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.