Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0624850a01ae091c2c345370d560ae50b745f83d9b3d1d1b53d00c0cee93982a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LNG Esports, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.04 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LNG Esports | 38c | 2,728$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.64 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed LNG Esports | 38c | 1,980$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed LNG Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LNG Esports | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LNG Esports | 42c | 101.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed LNG Esports | 36c | 62.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed LNG Esports | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed LNG Esports | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked LNG Esports | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.